Version 5 Tree Atlas


Prunus serotina

black cherry

noelev

Prunus serotina Occurrence Sites

Environmental Variables Included
Order of Importance of Environmental Variables for Prunus serotina

USDA Plants Database entry for Prunus serotina
Silvics Manual entry for Prunus serotina


Click on any map to enlarge

SynonymsFIA PlotsGBIF SitesOther SitesOther TypesTotal SitesNotes
Prunus serotina var. virens; Prunus serotina ssp. virens; Prunus serotina var. rufula; Prunus serotina spp. capuli; Prunus serotina var. alabamensis1210458212686range is well-represented

Occurrence Locations and Hargrove's Present Suitable Range Outline
Prunus_serotina_final Occurrences
Hargroves Present Suitable Range Outline for Prunus_serotina_final
Prunus serotina - Occurrence Locations Prunus serotina - Hargrove's Present Suitable Range Outline
Present Conditions
Prunus_serotina_final.4.conus
Prunus_serotina_final.4.global
Prunus serotina - CONUS
Compare with Current Range from the Silvics Manual for Prunus serotina
Compare with Current Range from Biota of North America Program (BONAP) for Prunus serotina

Compare with Prunus serotina modeled for Current conditions by Iverson and Prasad
Prunus serotina not modeled by Crookston and Rehfeldt
Prunus serotina not modeled by Coops and Waring
Prunus serotina - Global

PCM - Parallel Climate Model
Prunus_serotina_final.4.conus
Prunus_serotina_final.4.global
PCM, Scenario A1FI, 2050 - Prunus serotina - CONUS
PCM, Scenario A1FI, 2050 - Prunus serotina - Global
Prunus_serotina_final.4.conus
Prunus_serotina_final.4.global
PCM, Scenario A1FI, 2100 - Prunus serotina - CONUS
Compare with Prunus serotina modeled for PCM A1FI in 2100 by Iverson and Prasad
PCM, Scenario A1FI, 2100 - Prunus serotina - Global

Prunus_serotina_final.4.conus
Prunus_serotina_final.4.global
PCM, Scenario B1, 2050 - Prunus serotina - CONUS
PCM, Scenario B1, 2050 - Prunus serotina - Global
Prunus_serotina_final.4.conus
Prunus_serotina_final.4.global
PCM, Scenario B1, 2100 - Prunus serotina - CONUS
Compare with Prunus serotina modeled for PCM B1 in 2100 by Iverson and Prasad
PCM, Scenario B1, 2100 - Prunus serotina - Global

Hadley Climate Model
Prunus_serotina_final.4.conus
Prunus_serotina_final.4.global
Hadley, Scenario A1FI, 2050 - Prunus serotina - CONUS
Prunus serotina not modeled by Crookston and Rehfeldt
Hadley, Scenario A1FI, 2050 - Prunus serotina - Global
Prunus_serotina_final.4.conus
Prunus_serotina_final.4.global.
Hadley, Scenario A1FI, 2100 - Prunus serotina - CONUS
Compare with Prunus serotina modeled for Hadley A1FI in 2100 by Iverson and Prasad
Prunus serotina not modeled by Crookston and Rehfeldt
Prunus serotina not modeled by Coops and Waring
Hadley, Scenario A1FI, 2100 - Prunus serotina - Global

Prunus_serotina_final.4.conus
Prunus_serotina_final.4.global.
Hadley, Scenario B1, 2050 - Prunus serotina - CONUS
Prunus serotina not modeled by Crookston and Rehfeldt
Prunus serotina not modeled by Coops and Waring
Hadley, Scenario B1, 2050 - Prunus serotina - Global
Prunus_serotina_final.4.conus
Prunus_serotina_final.4.global
Hadley, Scenario B1, 2100 - Prunus serotina - CONUS
Compare with Prunus serotina modeled for Hadley B1 in 2100 by Iverson and Prasad
Prunus serotina not modeled by Crookston and Rehfeldt
Hadley, Scenario B1, 2100 - Prunus serotina - Global
Range Shift and Summary Statistics for Hadley, Scenario B1, 2050
Prunus_serotina_final.noelev

Number of Suitable Ecoregions (Niche Breadth)

430

Percent Rank of Generalist Niche Breadth of all ForeCASTS species

0.547945

Area in Present Suitable Range (in km2)

3045019

Area in Future Suitable Range (Had B1 2050, in km2)

2086041

Area of Overlap of Future Suitable Range with
Present Suitable Range (Had B1 2050, in km2)

1868306

Percent Overlap of Future Suitable Range with
Present Suitable Range (Had B1 2050)

61.3500

Percent Rank of Largest Proportion of Overlap of all ForeCASTS species

22.3288

Percent Change in Area of Suitable Range (Had B1 2050)

-31.4900

Percent Rank of Largest Percent Change in Suitable Area of all ForeCASTS species

53.9726

Mean Non-Zero Fine Minimum Required Movement Distance
(Had B1 2050, in km)

8080.14 +/- 19399.4

Percent Rank of Longest Fine MRM Distance of all ForeCASTS species

76.5753

Mean Non-Zero Coarse Minimum Required Movement Distance
(Had B1 2050, in map cells)

3.53778 +/- 9.27148

Percent Rank of Longest Coarse MRM Distance of all ForeCASTS species

79.0411

Mean Non-Zero Coarse Optimum Required Movement Distance
(Had B1 2050, in map cells)

228.957 +/- 727.864

Percent Rank of Longest Coarse ORM Distance of all ForeCASTS species

22.4658

Area of Present Range that has No Home in the Future
(Had B1 2050, in map cells)

191014

Proportion of Present Range that has No Home in the Future
(Had B1 2050, percent)

6.2700

Percent Rank of Largest Proportion with No Home of all ForeCASTS species

18.6301

Area of Present Range that is already Home in the Future
(Had B1 2050, in map cells)

811228

Proportion of Present Range that is already Home in the Future
(Had B1 2050, percent)

26.6400

Percent Rank of Largest Proportion Already Home of all ForeCASTS species

50.9589

Present and Future Ranges - Hadley, Scenario B1, 2050 - Prunus serotina Prunus serotina - Range Change Statistics
Fine Minimum Required Movement (MRM) Distance and Direction for Hadley, Scenario B1, 2050
Prunus_serotina_final.noelev Fine MRM Distance
Prunus_serotina_final.noelev Fine MRM Direction
Fine Minimum Required Movement (MRM) Distance - Hadley, Scenario B1, 2100 - Prunus serotina Fine Minimum Required Movement (MRM) Direction - Hadley, Scenario B1, 2100 - Prunus serotina
Coarse Minimum Required Movement (MRM) and Optimum Required Movement (ORM) Distance for Hadley, Scenario B1, 2050
Prunus_serotina_final.noelev Coarse MRM Distance
Prunus_serotina_final.noelev Coarse ORM Distance
Coarse Minimum Required Movement (MRM) Distance - Hadley, Scenario B1, 2100 - Prunus serotina Coarse Optimum Required Movement (ORM) Distance - Hadley, Scenario B1, 2100 - Prunus serotina

Thu Jul 21 10:04:47 EDT 2016


For additional information contact:

William W. Hargrove
Eastern Forest Environmental Threat Assessment Center (EFETAC)
USDA Forest Service
Southern Research Station
200 WT Weaver Boulevard
Asheville, NC 28804-3454
(828) 257-4846
(865) 235-4753 (cell)
(828) 257-4313 (fax)
hnw@geobabble.org

William W. Hargrove (hnw@geobabble.org)